Whether there is nation-wide coordination among rebel forces exist or not - things are overall looking promising for rebels’ side. Though only means in the limited scope of removal of the regime or regime top. After ousting Assad, what’d follow is unforeseeable yet.
And Cordesman noted that the localised strategy of the rebel forces could work in their favour, making it harder for the government to devise a comprehensive plan to defeat them.
“You have sophisticated attacks in some areas, blunders in others, opportunistic actions,” he said.
“Every faction can look for targets of opportunity and if that target of opportunity proves to be a political or military success, then other insurgent groups can follow.”
And, he said, for the rebels to ultimately succeed, a prolonged series of such dispersed attacks — particularly where they draw massive regime responses in civilian areas — could be enough.
“If the regime becomes more and more unpopular, if it becomes less and less clear that the regime can trust the armed forces, insurgents don’t have to decisively defeat the government forces,” he said.
“They simply have to create a situation where the leadership feels that staying is untenable.”