but we are actually all winds
ever more than before
even ever more than before 
towards future 
and redeeming laughters
and happiest laughters
Start page JUMO | Code for America | good.is |
“If you want to free a society, just give them internet access. Because people, the young guys, you know, are all going to go out and see biased media, see the truth about other nations and their own nation and they’re going to be able to contribute and collaborate together.”
▸ The Massacre Strategy, Aaron Y. Zelin

But there’s also a strategic reason behind the executions — and the gruesome pictures posted online for all to see. ISIS’ goal is not only to scare Iraqi Shiites but to provoke them to radicalize, join Iranian-sponsored militias and then commit similar atrocities against Sunnis. ISIS then hopes to set itself up as the protectors of the Sunni population, helping to consolidate its hold on Sunni population centers.

Jun 18, 2014, 6:55am  2 notes      

September 09, 2013, 9:16pm   0 notes
“Ten different battles being fought in #Syria … biggest proxy war in modern times”
lyse doucet (@bbclysedoucet) September 8, 2013

September 09, 2013, 12:27am  6 notes

September 06, 2013, 12:29am   0 notes

Report: Majority Of Americans Approve Of Sending Congress To Syria http://onion.com/1ejSlDG

Report: Majority Of Americans Approve Of Sending Congress To Syria


By so far, 3 options, or scenarios are there re: US involvement in Syria

  1. USA is cautious against rebels winning. Want to keep Assad and Rebels (including Jihadis) hanging in balance. (=minimun-minimum involvement)
  2. Air strike and coordination with rebels on the ground can weaken Assad sufficient enough. It will push Assad and Russia into corner. Bag political settlement = done.
  3. Air strike, arm and train rebels with powerful weapons, create authorization for involvement of US ground troops (just, just in case, we might need it) - and push on. We can win this.
September 05, 2013, 9:38am   1 note
▸ It may be curtains for Bashar Assad, Michael Young, Daily Star

[…] Indeed, there has been considerable speculation that Assad’s resort to chemical weapons came in the aftermath of a rebel advance into the northeastern quarters of the capital. And even then, pro-Syrian sources in Beirut are admitting that the Syrian army’s effort to reconquer the lost neighborhoods was exceptionally difficult.

Perhaps the Americans are gambling that the Free Syrian Army units with whom they are in contact can take Damascus, or at least make inroads that force Assad to step down or accept a political transition. This would give the FSA a decisive advantage over Al-Qaeda-affiliated groups concentrated in the north. Moreover, American officials may have realized that a U.S. bombing campaign will persuade many military units to defect, making Assad’s downfall all but inevitable.

Henri Barkey of Lehigh University perceptively tweeted: “I’ve always had sneaking suspicion that the delay had to do with the [aircraft carrier] Nimitz. It cannot launch aircraft from current location.” Indeed, there is now open talk about using aircraft, which was not the case last week. The value of aircraft in Syria would mainly be tactical, providing support to those fighting on the ground.

The mood is changing in Moscow as well. On Tuesday, President Vladimir Putin said Russia “doesn’t exclude” supporting a U.N. resolution on punitive military strikes if it were proven that Damascus had used chemical weapons against its own people. He also announced that he had stopped shipment of S-300 anti-aircraft missiles to Syria, which Assad would need to defend against Western aircraft.

The U.S. had sought Russian help in preventing Assad from using chemical weapons, and the Russians may have been embarrassed when he did not listen. With international outrage rising, Putin has no choice but to alter his position, knowing that if he doesn’t he will be isolated if Assad is pushed out. He may prefer to position himself as a mediator in a transitional solution. Some have speculated that this may be discussed at the G-20 summit in St. Petersburg this week.

Iran and Hezbollah will be watching carefully to see what happens. The options are limited. If their plan is to target Israel with rockets, this will do little good. Hezbollah would invite a devastating Israeli response if it fires from Lebanon, at a moment when its Syrian policy is unpopular at home and thousands of its combatants are in Syria. A war would also create hundreds of thousands of Shiite refugees, who would angrily wonder why they have to suffer to defend Assad.

Moreover, Hezbollah and Iran’s ability to absorb Shiite discontent is restricted. There will be no Arab money this time to rebuild; and Iran is too financially pressed – even as it is paying a hefty financial bill to prop up Assad rule in Syria – to rescue Lebanon’s Shiites.

If, as some have speculated, Hezbollah targets Israel from Syria, this may precipitate the very outcome that Iran and the party seek to avoid. It makes no sense to respond to an American attack against Syria through a mechanism that invites an Israeli attack against Syria, one bound to undermine Assad’s position further.

Obama’s last-minute decision to postpone an attack against Syria confused everybody. But Assad’s satisfaction with the delay was premature. The bully’s bluff has been called, an American attack is coming, and it will hit very hard – unless Russia can devise a political resolution before then that would force Assad from office. It’s not yet the end of the Assad regime, but it could well be the beginning of the end. And when nightmares end, there is only relief.

bit long but definitely worth checking out. 

It’s saying = USA is ready to bring political settlement - it can calibrate strike plan and diplomacy to be able to achieve that goal - there is a chance for this - now. 

Sep 05, 2013, 9:08am  0 notes      

September 04, 2013, 8:32pm   0 notes

Sept 4th re: Syria

re: Syria 

one word is ”vacillation’ - inability to take a stance. But - diplomacy is a game. And USA’s core strategy might be really just set on ‘Goldilocks strategy’ (Will McCants) [Why that’s really the better or best option than others - is not clear.] 

Other theatrics - are just can be theatrics. 

Public understanding might need more PR on why containment (esp re: Jordan) is critical. And outside world can’t, can never drop that ball. Not about internal power struggle situation (proxy war) in Syria. On that no one has crystal ball. 

September 04, 2013, 12:00pm   0 notes

The public expresses even wider opposition to arming Syrian rebels, which President Obama authorized in June. Fully seven in 10 oppose arming rebels, including large majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents.
Most in U.S. oppose Syria strike, Post-ABC poll finds (Washington Post) 
70% of American people opposes arming Syrian rebels. Across camps - Dem, GOP, Independents. 

The public expresses even wider opposition to arming Syrian rebels, which President Obama authorized in June. Fully seven in 10 oppose arming rebels, including large majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents.

Most in U.S. oppose Syria strike, Post-ABC poll finds (Washington Post) 

70% of American people opposes arming Syrian rebels. Across camps - Dem, GOP, Independents. 

“His work is not intended to advocate any political ideology. Discussing In Praise of Hatred, he said “above all, I wrote this novel in defense of the Syrian people and in order to protest against the suffering they have endured as a result of the religious and political dogmas that have tried to negate their ten-thousand-year civilisation.”


Thing is this book is yet to be translated into English. 

But it is true there is a view that Syria’s political culture went through drastic/cataclysmic transformation during 50s/60s - and the theme of the book, Alawite regime vs. Sunni Brotherhood can be pretty much it or at least part of that process. 

August 31, 2013, 3:30pm  0 notes

“Dictators bring invaders; this is an indisputable fact. Invaders never brought freedom to people, and this is another fact that we shouldn’t forget. But what we should say at this very crucial moment of our lives and the life of our revolution is that the dictators are not the only ones who brought invaders, but that they contributed to that a group of politicians and revolution-traders who sold our blood — once to Qatar and once to Saudi and once to organizations that I don’t know their nature — without the slightest sense of shame. Imagine Samir Nashar and Zuheir Salem representing this great revolution — how strange!”

Syrian Novelist Khaled al-Khalifa (Arabic Literature)

"dictators bring invaders, invaders really won’t improve the situation’ - … kind of bit similar to a thought/principle guided Japan’s 1850/60 civil war/revolution. 

A nation’s weakened (domestic, internal) unity could bring in the space/chance for invading/interfering outsiders. (so we need domestic unity - and for Japan at that time, that unity was basically brokered through negotiations. tho it was flaky and very difficult and backfired in major ways etc.) 

August 31, 2013, 2:54pm  0 notes

tho the current Egypt’s political upheaval is

Really like something Japan went through in latter part of 1860s. 

What happened to Japan (and this is probably different from what’s actually going on in Egypt I guess but nonetheless) was it really killed and erased all the best minds Japan had for maintaining its political unity, cohesion, atmosphere - 

  • talented people with capacity of real listening to different views/opinions, 
  • people who had sense about domestic cohesion is necessary for minimizing the malicious interference and interventions by foreign powers 
  • people who had ideas about what Japan has to carry on into the Westernizing process - from tradition, from previous period’s wisdoms 
  • Open to learning from foreign powers 

Crazy madness, insanity of political upheaval created the atmosphere in which all these brilliant people were all targeted - and massively assassinated (from ‘crazies’ on either side, any side, all sides.) 

That turmoil lasted like 10 years, and when ‘the Revolution’ ended, some people lamented that Japan lost all the necessary human talents which was necessary for shaping, facing and planning the most challenging period - facing Westernization and surviving in the modern international world. 

There was a lament about Japanese temper - ‘Why Japanese people got so into rivalry, killing, murdering each other’ - and erased brilliant leader class minds from the list one by one. 

(And then that ‘toxic’ temper - now formed as ‘ideology’ ‘school of thought’ (became established and disseminated among population) - remained and lasted, and prepared another round of madness Japan faced in 1930s - towards participating, blindly descending into World War 2.)

August 20, 2013, 1:50pm   1 note